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2024-12-13 18:20:07

Chicago corn futures rose more than 1.5%, and the monthly report of USDA made the agricultural products market violently fluctuate. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, CBOT corn futures rose 1.53% to 4.48-1/2 USD/bushel. After USDA released its inventory forecast report at 01:00 Beijing time, it broke the sideways consolidation state around 4.42 USD earlier in the day and accelerated. CBOT wheat futures rose 0.76% to $5.61/bushel. After the release of USDA monthly report, it fell below $5.56, then rebounded and refreshed above $5.63. CBOT soybean futures rose 0.53% to $ 9.95-1/4/bushel, and the USDA monthly report fell back to a level close to $9.90, then rebounded and approached the daily high of $10 refreshed at 23:41. Soybean meal futures rose by 0.97% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.21%.The rapid rise of long-term debt reflects the hot sentiment in the bond market. On December 10th, the transaction interest rate of the 10-year active bond "240011" further dropped to 1.84%, hitting a record low. By the close of the day, treasury bonds futures rose across the board, and the main contract of representative 10-year treasury bonds futures hit a record high. Experts said that the loose expectation of monetary policy and the strong demand for institutional allocation constitute an important supporting factor for the recent bond market to continue to go bullish. But at the same time, as bond prices rise and yields fall, market volatility may also rise. (CSI)Hezbollah in Lebanon declares that it is a dangerous act of aggression for Israel to occupy more Syrian territory and destroy its military capabilities. The United Nations Security Council, the international community and Arab and Islamic countries have the responsibility to reject and put an end to such acts and protect them at this sensitive and critical stage in Syrian history.


The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Chile's national copper company said that copper production reached 127,900 tons in October.According to medical personnel, at least seven Palestinians were killed and many others were injured in the Nu Sillat refugee camp in central Gaza as a result of Israeli air strikes.


US Treasury Secretary Yellen: I also expressed my concern about fiscal responsibility. We need to cut the deficit. I hope that Congress can try to pay for any extension of Trump's personal tax cuts passed in 2017.Since the beginning of this year, six small and medium-sized banks have "refused to redeem" tier-2 capital bonds. On December 9, Yingkou Bank Co., Ltd. announced that when the 10-year tier-2 capital bonds issued by the bank in 2019 had expired, the bank chose not to redeem the bonds. In fact, a number of commercial banks have announced this year that they will not exercise the right to redeem secondary capital bonds, mainly small and medium-sized banks. The insiders believe that there are two main reasons why banks choose not to redeem secondary capital bonds. First, it is difficult for banks to refinance and issue capital replenishment tools due to factors such as high cost of new bonds and declining profitability. Second, the bank's capital adequacy ratio has been at a low level, and some banks' capital adequacy ratio has been lower than the regulatory requirements before redemption, and the capital level may further decline after exercising the redemption right. (Securities Daily)On the eve of the release of CPI data in November, a newly released report said that the leadership of the Bureau of Labor Statistics should be responsible for a series of mistakes this year. These mistakes brought the institution under scrutiny. However, the report issued by an expert team composed of government and private sector members said that none of these incidents had anything to do with the quality or accuracy of the agency's core data work. The report added that no potential motives for dishonesty or malice were found. Previously, the CPI of the United States was leaked in advance in April, and in August, the preliminary annual benchmark revised data of the non-farm payrolls report was released more than 30 minutes after the original release time of 10: 00 a.m. The survey found that the modernization of technology and software of this institution was hindered by insufficient funds, which made it impossible to ensure that its processes and systems kept pace with technological progress. The investigation team proposed to re-plan the enterprise training for front-line staff and revise the emergency plan to reduce the risk of untimely release. It is reported that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has removed contractors from key positions and limited these functions to federal staff.

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